Geoff Cumming receives funding from the Australian Research Council. Such research findings sound exciting because the word significant suggests important and large. But researchers often use the word ...

For autoregressive processes, we propose new estimators whose pivotal statistics have the standard normal limiting distribution for all ranges of the autoregressive parameters. The proposed estimators ...

The topic of variable importance in linear regression is reviewed, and a measure first justified theoretically by Pratt (1987) is examined in detail. Asymptotic variance estimates are used to ...

I've become alarmed recently at the number of young engineers (i.e. those with less than 5 years of work experience), who seem to have missed the college course on applied probability and don't know ...

Sometimes it’s hard to have confidence in science. So many results from published scientific studies turn out to be wrong. Part of the problem is that science has trouble quantifying just how ...