Most predictions about the future age badly. They tend to be too optimistic, too catastrophic, or simply too strange to take ...

The next decade is unlikely to collapse the university system. But it will bring a lot of change to higher education.

Humans and other animals constantly make predictions about future events based on previous experiences and their perceptions of the surrounding environment. This predictive process is described by a ...

Prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi have soared in popularity over the past few months. From bets on disease ...

If you had lived in the early decades of the sixteenth century, how would you have thought about the future? Presumably, you would have considered it in everyday terms: you would have wondered whether ...

Subscribe to our newsletter for the latest sci-tech news updates. In this mathematical framework, probabilities about future events are updated as new evidence becomes available. Some neuroscience ...