​​The February 26 earnings report will be pivotal in confirming whether the bullish thesis holds. Analysts expect Q4 revenue to grow 72% year-over-year to $38.1 billion, along with EPS of $0.79. Nvidia needs to surpass these expectations markedly to reignite any sort of rally.

If you're going purely based on history, the trends seen in the stock chart above would suggest that Nvidia stock will be headed higher after it reports earnings on Feb. 26. But smart investors know all too well that past performance shouldn't be used as your sole barometer.

Nvidia's stock has seen a recent dip, attributed to increased competition from Chinese AI startup DeepSeek. Historically, Nvidia's stock rebounds after a drop, often reaching new highs. Positive updates from Nvidias largest customers and continued strong performance in AI investments suggest promising future growth,