Let’s give a big round of applause to the pollsters. Measuring public opinion is, in many ways, harder than ever — and yet, the polling industry just had one of… ...

Longtime readers of FiveThirtyEight are probably familiar with our pollster ratings: letter grades that we assign to pollsters based on their historical accuracy and transparency. Since 2008, we ...

2024 Republican Primary How Donald Trump’s Unusual Presidential Comeback Could Go History presents three possible paths.

The 20 Republicans who opposed Kevin McCarthy’s bid for speaker of the House had something in common before Tuesday’s drama: They are very conservative and scor… ...

Twitter How Americans Really Feel About Elon Musk Hint: His unscientific polls don’t tell us much.

Live election results and coverage of the races in the 2022 Midterm elections that are still too close to call, including the latest updates on the race for control of the U.S. House of ...

2022 Election Who Are The People Who Don't Respond To Polls? Our ongoing poll with Ipsos offers some clues.

If it were up to me — and I grew up in East Lansing, Michigan, where you could literally hear the roar of the crowd from Spartan Stadium in my backyard on game days — the Big Ten would have ...

This past spring, Texas Gov. Greg Abbott captured headlines for his plan to bus migrants to Washington, D.C. He said he was concerned that there would be an inf… ...

True-Blue Progressives Los Angeles’s True-Blue Progressives 5 — our second political neighborhood — can be found mostly (but not exclusively) north of Downtown. That’s where you’ll find ...

Redistricting changed the electoral calculus in several battleground states: Some legislative chambers got more competitive, while other previously contested chambers got sewn up for one party.

Apportionment, or the process of determining the number of seats each state has in the U.S. House of Representatives, happens like clockwork at this point. Ever… ...